'This is escalation... we will react accordingly': Putin's foreign
minister's chilling warning to West after Ukraine fired US-made missiles
into Russia - as Starmer hints Kyiv CAN use Brit rockets and ex-Kremlin
PM says 'that means WWIII'
Putin provocatively signed off changes to the country's laws that will allow Russia to launch a nuclear attack in response to a conventional weapons strike – such as one by long-range missiles.
By Olivia Christie
Daily Mail
Nov 19, 2024
Vladimir
Putin on Tuesday morning signed off on an updated version of the
Kremlin's nuclear doctrine that broadens the scope for Moscow to turn to
its fearsome atomic arsenal
Russia
has signalled it will retaliate with full-scale nuclear war after
Ukraine launched US-made missiles over the border on Tuesday.
Vladimir Putin's foreign minister Sergei Lavrov chillingly warned that Moscow would 'react accordingly' as he described the strike as a signal Kyiv 'wanted to escalate'.
The
terrifying sabre rattling was confirmed by the Russian President's
close ally Dmitry Medvedev. Posting on X, the Deputy Chair of Russia's
security council said it meant 'World War III'.
In a dramatic escalation on the 1,000th
day of the conflict, Kyiv launched six 'ATACM' missiles from an
undisclosed location over the border into Russian territory.
The strikes triggered a fiery explosion at a depot in Karachev, believed to be storing ammunition supplied by North Korea, around 75 miles from the Ukrainian border.
At the same time, Putin provocatively signed off changes to the country's laws on nuclear weapons to make it easier for them to be deployed against Ukraine in retaliation.
The
amendments allow Russia to launch a nuclear attack in response to a
conventional weapons strike – such as one by long-range missiles.
It comes as Sir Keir Starmer offered his biggest hint yet that No.10 would authorise Ukraine to fire UK Storm Shadow missiles into Russia.
A
fiery explosion lit up the night sky around 77 miles from the nearest
Ukrainian border at an ammunition store in Karachev, in Russia's Bryansk
region, on Tuesday
Vladimir
Putin 's foreign minister Sergei Lavrov (pictured) chillingly warned
that Moscow would 'react accordingly' as he described the strike as a
signal Kyiv 'wanted to escalate'
He said the G20 summit in Brazil: 'I've
been doubling down in my clear message that we need to ensure Ukraine
has what is needed for as long as needed to win this war against Putin.
'I
am not going to go into operational details. You would not expect me
to. The only winner in that would be Putin and it would undermine
Ukraine.'
He added that the rhetoric currently coming from Russia was 'irresponsible' and would not deter the UK's reosponse.
Zelenksy's
plea to use UK Storm Shadow missiles on targets in Russia has so far
been rebuffed by Downing Street for fears of escalating the conflict.
A senior defence source said the UK prefers to 'confirm by use', for example, when a missile strikes.
Meanwhile,
there is growing concern about Europe's ability to respond to Russia's
increased use of hybrid warfare and sabotage attacks.
A
former defence official, has warned that it is 'totally unprepared' for
the Kremlin's escalating response, The Guardian has reported.
The senior
European defence official, who recently left their position, said the
block lacked the resources to counter Russian sabotage attacks.
Ukraine's
President Volodymyr Zelensky attends a joint press conference with
Denmark's prime minister at the presidential palace in Kyiv, on November
19
ATACMS - Army Tactical Missile - being fired from an M270 Multiple Launch Rocket System
Zelensky presenting his plan of resistance to the Ukrainian parliament in Kyiv, Ukraine on November 19
Such attacks are expected to increase in frequency after Biden approved the use of ATACMS earlier this week.
Earlier
this year, US and German intelligence services reportedly uncovered a
Russian plot to assassinate several defense industry executives across
Europe.
US security sources have indicated that the decision to allow ATACMS strikes was a direct response to Russia recruiting thousands of North Korean troops.
Around
10,000 soldiers provided by Pyongyang are expected to take part in a
Russian bid to liberate the province of Kursk, parts of which have been
seized by Ukrainian forces.
Yesterday, Mr Zelensky raised the prospect that the number of North Korean troops could even swell to 100,000.
Neither
the US nor Ukraine has confirmed the use of the missiles, with Zelenksy
merely saying his country has 'long-range capabilities'.
But Russian news agencies explicitly referred to ATACMs in their state-supported reports.
Following
the attack, Moscow's emergency ministry announced it had begun
mass-producing mobile bomb shelters that can protect against shockwaves
and radiation from a nuclear blast.
The
new 'KUB-M' shelters will offer protection for 54 people for up to two
days against natural and man-made hazards, Moscow's emergency ministry
has said.
'The mobile shelter is a
multifunctional structure that provides protection for people from
various threats, including natural disasters and man-made accidents,'
its research institute explained, calling it 'an important step towards
improving the safety of citizens'.
Russian
army's multiple rocket launcher Solntsepyok fires towards Ukrainian
positions in the border area of Kursk region last week
Volodymyr
Zelensky, centre, walks with Vadym Fiashkin, head of the Donetsk
Regional Military Administration, right, during a tour of frontline
positions on November 18
They
can easily be transported on a truck and connected to water supplies,
and can also be deployed in Russia's vast northern permafrost, it
added.
In anticipation of Ukraine
receiving permission to use ATACMS, Russia's air force is said to have
redeployed many of its fighter jets and strategic bomber aircraft away
from the airbases in range of the missiles to sites further east.
But
there are still more than 200 military facilities that could be
battered by the US-manufactured munitions from positions along the
800-mile-long frontline.
Among the first likely targets for
Ukrainian strikes could be the Kuzminka Military Base, a critical
staging area for Putin's forces between the Russian city of
Rostov-on-Don and the Ukrainian border which acts as a hub for vehicle
storage, troop assembly and operational planning.
Russia's 381st artillery regiment is also located close to the Kuzminka base along with several logistics centres.
Meanwhile,
in Kursk, Kyiv's troops could seek to target the headquarters of
Russia's 448th Missile Brigade or regional assembly points used to
gather troops preparing to push back the Ukrainian incursion in the
region.
Targeting these sites could
cripple Russian logistics, command, and combat support, significantly
reducing Moscow's offensive capabilities in occupied Ukrainian
territory and harming efforts to retake territory in Kursk.
However,
the overall supply of ATACMS missiles to Ukraine is short, so US
officials and analysts have questioned whether allowing Ukraine to use
the weapons systems is really worth it given the potential consequences
that could ensue.
Jennifer Kavanagh,
director of military analysis at the Defense Priorities think tank, was
critical of the Biden administration's decision to approve the use of
ATACMS on targets in Russia.
A house destroyed as a result of Russian shelling in Kostiantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, eastern Ukraine on November 19
A military cadet lights a candle during a commemorative ceremony on the 1000th day of Russia's full scale attack on Ukraine
British Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer (right) during a bilateral meeting with President of Brazil Lula da Silva
A
man holds a placard reading 'Stop Russian Terror' as he and other
members of Ukrainian diaspora and supporters take part in demonstration
in front of Russian embassy in Warsaw
'Expanding
Ukraine's ability to launch offensive strikes with Western weapons
inside Russia will not alter the trajectory of the war or help Kyiv gain
an advantage against a better equipped and more resilient adversary.
'Any escalation could reverberate on
Ukraine itself. With the Biden administration on its way out and the
incoming Trump administration indicating an intention to end the war,
Putin has little incentive to act with restraint in his retaliation
toward Kyiv.'
But proponents of the
policy say that even a few strikes deeper inside Russia would force its
military to change deployments and expend more of its resources.
George
Barros, leader of the Russia team and GEOINT team at ISW that compiled
the list of targets, sought to highlight the way in which ATACMS could
impact Putin's troops and campaigned for the Biden administration to
allow strikes beyond Kursk as a result.
'Reminder
that there are hundreds of valid, legal, legitimate, and operationally
consequential military targets in range of Ukrainian ATACMS,' he wrote.
'The Biden Administration's shift to allow ATACMS use in Russia is a good thing.'
Matthew
Savill, the director of military sciences at the Royal United Services
Institute, said of Ukraine's ATACMS attacks: 'Many of the best targets –
helicopters and glide-bomb armed aircraft attacking Ukrainian cities
and troops in the north or in Kursk have largely moved to airbases
outside the range of ATACMS.
'This
still leaves plenty of opportunities to strike military headquarters and
ammunition or supply locations supporting Russian and North Korean
troops, but this would be a reduced impact from when the Ukrainians
first requested these weapons.'
It
remains to be seen whether Britain and France will follow America's lead
by allowing Kyiv's troops to attack Russian targets with Storm Shadow
and SCALP long-range missiles - though it is expected the restrictions
will soon be relaxed.