Wednesday, June 14, 2023

THE BIG ONE IS COMING

Is It Really Going to Start Soon?

Israel is busy preparing for the outbreak of an unprecedented war against Iran and its proxies, and we can all feel it.

 

 
Illustration: Shutterstock 
 
What will an Iranian missile attack on Israel look like? It’s a scenario that Israel’s Home Front Command has been preparing for during the latest mega-maneuver called “Firm Hand.” Over a hundred dead, thousands wounded and thousands of destroyed facilities and infrastructures is a real possibility that is currently being simulated in Israel. In a worst case scenario, electrical and water infrastructures would be severely damaged and essential personnel would be missing. To help counter this possibility, new protected facilities are being built and early warning systems are being tested. Is it really starting soon? It depends who you ask. But it looks like everything is coming together.

For more than a week, Israel has been training for a multi-front war in which, among other things, an Israeli airstrike in Iran was practiced. In the scenario of the maneuver, pro-Iranian militias from Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and the Gaza Strip attack Israel with rockets. At the same time, violent unrest among the Arab population breaks out in the country.

 

A Strong and Short Maneuver is the Goal IDF exercise on the Syrian border. 

 

Israel’s Home Front Command has practiced situations in which ballistic missiles kill hundreds of Israelis and injure thousands. In this scenario, Israel’s rescue organizations were faced with more than a thousand destroyed buildings. A scenario was practiced according to which the rocket attacks on Israel completely paralyze and partially destroy life in the country. “We have practiced an extreme scenario and are seriously preparing for it,” a government source told Israeli media. “The ability to fire rockets at Israel’s interior from multiple fronts is creating a large number of hotspots across the country and nationwide destruction not seen since Israel’s founding,” the source added, explaining that such a scenario will affect the ability of the nation to operate normally, for example due to a power failure. “We saw what happened a week and a half ago when there was no electricity in half the country because of the heat wave.”

 

A Home Front Command drill in 2009 (photo credit: Doron Horowitz/Flash90) 
IDF Home Front Command soldiers during a drill in case of a rocket attack on Israel. 
 

The source said that Israel must prepare for the worst: “We will face numerous challenges, such as staff not reporting to essential workplaces like hospitals for fear of missile strikes. Hospital workers, pharmacies, drivers, workers in infrastructure companies, and this will cripple the functional continuity of the Israeli economy.”

Israel’s defense organs said that a situation would arise in which the air defense system would be radically challenged. Data on the volume of rocket attacks from the various fronts were kept secret, but the data on the volume of rockets from Lebanon was given: 3,000 rockets in the first days of the war. A new feature called “Cell Broadcast” was introduced for the first time during the Firm Hand maneuver, which allows Home Front Command to broadcast missile alerts and warnings directly to citizens, even without the user downloading the Home Front Command app. Also, the messages are sent to citizens in the language in which the user is using their device.

It is also known that Israel’s Home Front Command, under massive rocket fire, practiced evacuating civilians from 50 settlements within a five-kilometer radius to safe centers under the supervision of the Israeli Ministry of Health. As a result of the maneuver, a number of security gaps became apparent again, particularly in northern Israel. It was also decided to create a new headquarters for the Home Front Command, where soldiers would be deployed in providing social assistance, medical assistance and food aid to the populations in the major evacuation centers, including those in the Jordan Basin and Arava Desert. These are empty and long stretches of land that are not considered targets, and Israel wants to set up its rescue centers there.

 

Defense Minister Yoav Gallant and IDF Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi seen during a tour on near the border with Lebanon, northern Israel, March 16, 2023. (David Cohen/Flash90)
Defense Minister Yoav Gallant and Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi during a visit to the Lebanese border. 
 
 
It has also emerged that there could be a mass evacuation of Israelis from the north to the south. As a result, a proposal was put forward to Defense Minister Yoav Gallant under which citizens who use their own vehicles for such emergency evacuations would receive state aid and some sort of funding for their stay in boarding houses, especially if they are traveling with with more than one passenger. This is actually not a new idea, I know this from my first years as a reserve soldier, when we also had to use our private cars during service to the nation. We’d collect our comrades and head off to the borders. At the time none of that bothered us, we were young and looking for action.
 
And now of all times I have switched to a fully electric car. Help! If the Persians really hit Israel’s power plants, many electric cars will stop. No electricity, no battery – like no work, no bread. Then I really have no choice but to buy a small power generator and have it ready with a 10 liter petrol can in the trunk. Kind of defeats the purpose…

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