Tuesday, January 09, 2024

SO, WILL TRUMP HAVE IT IN THE BAG AFTER IOWA ?

By Bob Walsh


If Michelle Obama is the Democratic candidate, she will win the presidency by a landslide


The short answer is "Yes, but....."  Unless he drops dead in the next six days Trump will win the Iowa Caucus.  A caucus isn't a poll, and a poll isn't an election.  It is still early innings.  But.....

Chris Christie and Vivek Ramaswamy are NOT going to be the Republican presidential nominees.  They just aren't.  Haley and deSantis will manage to stay alive politically IF they make a significant, good showing.  If they bomb, it will be hard for them to justify staying in the running.  I still think Haley is really running for VP.  I can't imagine that deSantis would take VP if it was offered, at least offered by Trump.

IMHO, for what that might be worth to you, is that the real political news today is Michelle Obama's jumping in (or at least sticking her toes into the water).  Her statement that she is seriously, terribly, horribly, unimaginably worried about what will happen to this country after the next election.  Was this just a once-off remark or is she REALLY being set up to be the savior at the convention in Chicago?  Are the Democrats really that worried about both their #1 and #2 that they are thinking about doing a slash-and-burn?  They should be, but are they really?

Can you stand the suspense?  (Probably yes, but still.......)  If you see more and more of Barry and Michelle in the news over the next few months, you need to give this serious consideration.

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