by Bob Walsh
Generally
speaking in years gone past a vice-presidential candidate was picked on
the basis of finding a person who would not harm the presidential
pick. The notion of ticket-balancing was also thought to be important.
For instance, an urban-liberal candidate might be linked to a
rural-conservative candidate to spread the appeal of the ticket as a
whole. It may or may not have helped, but it certainly didn't hurt.
Then
along comes 1944 and Henry Wallace. By 1944 it was obvious to insiders
that FDR's health was failing. Republicans went to the Democrats and
told them flat out that they would make FDR's health an issue in the
upcoming campaign if Wallace was on the ticket. Wallace was a huge
cheerleader for the USSR, and was very likely himself a Socialist
himself and possibly even a Communist.
So
the Democrats went with Harry Truman for 1944. He was a solid, safe
bet. He had been a Captain in the artillery during WW I and had gone
bust in business during the depression. He was known to be personally
honest and headed an anti-corruption committee in the Senate. He went
after war profiteers with notable success. It is said that FDR disliked
him intensely. After the election FDR had only three meetings with
Truman, neither of them were one-on-one.
Move
forward to 1960. JFK was considered by many to be a light-weight. The
DNC wanted somebody on the ticket to give him some punch, and some
balance with the rural branch of the party so they picked Lyndon
Johnson, who JFK allegedly despised. Old Joe Kennedy, JFK's father,
brought some fairly serious money to the party. LBJ brought some
muscle. Pretty much every grave yard in Dallas and Chicago voted for
the Democrat ticket. Immediately after the election many of the RNC
movers and shakers recommended that Nixon contest the election due to
wide-spread voter fraud. Much to his credit he refused to do so.
Now
comes Joe Biden. He has painted himself into a corner very publicly.
He MUST pick a woman, preferably a woman of color. He will make that
pick very soon. The pool is limited, and maybe pretty shallow depending
on how you look at it.
There
is some real concern about Biden's fitness for the job. That concern
is not conservative noise, it has trickled into the democrats as well.
Unless Joe makes a good choice it will hurt him, but he may not have any
good choices. As I write this it looks like Susan Rice and Kamala
Harris are at the top of the pack, but it is hard to be sure. Rice
maybe has less baggage, but also less real-world executive experience
(like none). Harris is loved by the press.
One
thing for sure, this time around the pick will need to be an
affirmative one as opposed to a not-negative one. It is hard to make a
pick for affirmative reasons when your potential choices have so little
to recommend them to the voters.
2 comments:
Poor Joe isn't really picking anyone. He may announce what is presented to him. There is a good chance that he will announce the wrong person anyway.
He can't tell his wife from his sister by sight so that is not an unreasonable scenario.
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