Israel’s war against Hamas is justifiably
receiving tremendous attention and focus. This is a war of righteous
retribution in which our goal of dismantling Hamas dovetails with our
goal of securing our hostages.
The world’s attention—by and large hypocritically—has been on our strategy, tactics and, ultimately, insistence on victory.
But there is another war—or, more
accurately, another front in the same war—that has received less
attention both here and abroad. Nevertheless, I would suggest this
conflict is at least as impactful and requires Israel to devise and
execute a winning strategy.
This, of course, is our ongoing conflict
with Hezbollah. While Hezbollah thankfully missed the opportunity to
pile on with the Oct. 7 pogrom in the south, they have been diligent in
continuing to send, on a daily basis, attack drones, missiles and
rockets into northern Israel.
The result has been quietly devastating.
“Quietly” only in the sense of the attention that the war there has (or
has not) received, but not at all quietly for the residents of the
Galilee and the Golan Heights.
Hezbollah’s attacks have wrought havoc
with the status quo ante, the supposed deterrence of pre-Oct. 7. They
have succeeded in replacing the preexisting security buffer zone of
southern Lebanon—from the border to the Litani River—with a security
buffer zone that consists of the Upper and Western Galilee.
Knowing how ill prepared we would have
been to have repelled a land invasion a la Oct. 7 from the north, the
IDF encouraged/ordered the evacuation of dozens of northern cities,
towns, kibbutzim and moshavim.
It is estimated that some 60-80,000
residents have been displaced and that hundreds of buildings and homes
have been destroyed. There has been havoc wrought upon farmers who are
afraid to tend to their fields and, if they nevertheless do so, are
wildly shorthanded.
Businesses have been closed and ruined.
Tel Hai College, a rising academic star in Israel, has been locked shut.
There is only a semblance of life in communities like Kiryat Shmonah,
the largest city in the north.
Most distressingly, there seems to be no
willingness to change the ongoing tit-for-tat shoving match that
adequately describes the current situation.
Yes, there are the obligatory expressions
of empathy and support, and occasional empty statements of resolve. All
of this, however, fails the basic litmus of what a sovereign nation is
obligated to do: protect its citizens.
The difficult question that all of this
raises is: Why are we “backburnering” this conflict? Is this a matter of
capability; i.e., that we can’t fight a two-front war? Or is it
capitulation to American exhortations not to raise the temperature of
the conflict for fear of…What? Annoying Iran? Inflicting damage on
Lebanon?
Certainly, our leaders must understand
that this conflict will not go away from its own lack of momentum and
that Hezbollah’s capacity to inflict damage will, in the absence of
preemptive attack, incentivize them to keep harassing us until they get
certain concessions.
This might very well be the American
perspective: Appease Hezbollah/Iran, keep the genie locked up in the
bottle, do not unleash its fury and “take the win.”
Except, of course, that this is the antithesis of a victory.
Right now, the message is that the north
is expendable. Would we tolerate daily missile attacks on Rishon LeZion
or, heaven forfend, Rothschild Boulevard in Tel Aviv? Of course not.
These would be seen, appropriately, as existential threats to the
nation.
To not see and say the same for the north
is to invite existential despair. These are communities that define the
Zionist dream of love of the Land and creating fertile breadbaskets from
desolate country. These are communities that proudly send their sons
and daughters to defend the nation by serving in the IDF.
The history of modern-day Israel is
intimately bound up with the history of our northern communities. Right
now, however, residents there feel abandoned, expendable and akin to
collateral damage.
Yes, Hezbollah has enormous arms supplies
and capabilities. We have tolerated that growth since the 2006 Lebanon
War damaged them tremendously. They have become the premier forward
proxy of the Iranian mullahs, who have invested billions in arming and
training their terrorist operatives.
We have ceded the agenda and the pace and
scale of conflict to Hezbollah. They are the actors and we are only the
reactors. Our surgical strikes against key operatives have not changed
the course, intensity or initiative of the conflict. It is still very
much being led and directed by Hezbollah.
It is very likely that if we were more
assertive and aggressive towards Hezbollah, they would relent. Why?
Because their Iranian masters probably do not want them expending all
their materiel at this point.
This, of course, inevitably raises the
question as to what to do vis-a-vis Iran—but that is another subject.
Suffice it say, the Iranians likely do not want a full-blown conflict in
Lebanon right now.
This should lead us to ask why we are cooperating with their low intensity conflict/waiting game.
The irony is that the IDF has never been
stronger but we are acting as if we have never been so disabled and
constrained. Far lesser provocations have prompted far more assertive
responses from us in the past.
While we dither as to timing and tactics, there is one ineluctable reality: Northern Israel is being eviscerated.
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