The Republican fence sitters in the Senate are Lisa Murkowski, Susan Collins and Jeff Flake. Look for at least one of them to vote against confirming the Kavanaugh nomination.
Murkowski and Collins are concerned about women’s issues. Flake, who is a member of the Senate Judiciary Committee, just plain does not like President Trump.
If Flake votes against the nomination that will mean there will be an 11-10 Judiciary Committee vote against the confirmation because it is a sure bet that all 10 Democrats will oppose Kavanaugh.
If that happens, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has promised Kavanaugh will nevertheless get an up-or-down vote by the Senate. But with only a razor-thin Republican majority in the Senate, Kavanaugh cannot afford to lose a single Republican vote.
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