Israel’s response to the deadly Hezbollah
rocket attack on the Druze town of Majdal Shams in the Golan Heights
should not be “more of the same,” Israeli observers told JNS on Sunday.
On Saturday evening, a Hezbollah rocket
hit a soccer field in the northern Israeli town, killing 12 children and
teens. The Israel Defense Forces later confirmed that the rocket was
Iranian-made and was launched from an area north of the village of
Shebaa in Southern Lebanon.
IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi,
speaking from the site of the rocket attack, said on Saturday night, “We
know exactly where the rocket was launched from. The remains found on
the soccer field confirm it was a Hezbollah rocket, specifically a Falaq
rocket with a 53-kilogram warhead.”
IDF Brig. Gen. (res.) Yossi Kuperwasser, a
research fellow at the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs and the
Misgav Institute for National Security and Zionist Strategy, emphasized
the need for a strategic and decisive response.
“The primary objective must be clear: to
deliver a severe blow to Hezbollah to show that we do not overlook such a
heinous act,” he stated.
That Hezbollah had used a rocket with such
a heavy warhead in a civilian area “with full awareness” was a new
development, he said, and something Israel “cannot accept.”
The attack is a departure from Hezbollah’s
previous, calculated pattern of drawing Israeli fire to Lebanon to make
it more difficult for Israel to complete its war objectives in Gaza
against Hamas, he added.
“The closer we get to achieving this goal,
the more Hezbollah raises its level of activities, and the more we hurt
Hezbollah, then of course the more it raises the intensity of its
activities,” he said.
Prior to Saturday’s rocket attack, the
Israeli Air Force killed a Hezbollah Radwan Force member who was seen
entering a structure in Kafr Kela in Southern Lebanon.
Israel must “stick to its goals in Gaza
while exacting a very heavy price from Hezbollah,” said Kuperwasser. In
addition, Israel will need to rearrange the security situation in the
north to allow tens of thousands of displaced Israelis to return to
their homes, he added.
Overnight Sunday, the IAF conducted
strikes targeting Hezbollah infrastructure in multiple locations
throughout Lebanon. However, these strikes are not considered to be a
response to Saturday’s atrocity.
In light of Hezbollah’s escalation, “Our
actions should convey that we are not deterred by the possibility of
further escalation. This could involve striking Hezbollah’s military
infrastructure, its strategic capabilities, and national [Lebanese]
infrastructure that serves Hezbollah’s military capabilities,” said the
former intelligence official. He emphasized however that “Israel will
not target civilians, in contrast to Hezbollah’s methods.”
Professor Uzi Rabi, senior researcher and
the head of the program for Regional Cooperation at the Moshe Dayan
Center for Middle Eastern and African Studies Studies at Tel Aviv
University, argued for a shift in Israel’s approach to countering
Hezbollah.
“Israel needs to adopt an out-of-the-box
strategy similar to used in Yemen,” said Rabi, referring to the July 20
IAF strike on the Houthi fuel port at Al-Hodeida, which came in response
to a deadly Houthi suicide drone strike on Tel Aviv.
Rabi suggested targeting Lebanon’s
civilian infrastructure to disrupt daily life, thereby pressuring the
population to turn against Hezbollah. “Hezbollah presents itself as
Lebanon’s protector, but a significant disruption could lead to internal
dissent and international condemnation of Hezbollah’s actions,” he
added.
“What should guide Israel’s actions is to
do what it has not yet done, for the simple reason that what it has done
so far has not been effective. I do not trivialize the issue of
targeted killings or what the IDF has done to Hezbollah, but we must
admit that the bottom line is that it did not work,” he said.
“Israel must shift to another mode—I call
it the Al-Hodeida mode. To do what was done in Yemen—target the civilian
infrastructure in the host country,” he added. This, he argued, would
cause the population to experience disruption to its daily routine in
every manner—electricity, water and other vital services, and could, in
turn, cause the population to turn on Hezbollah.
“Let’s remember that Hezbollah defines itself as Lebanon’s protector,” he said.
“It does this when we know exactly who
Hezbollah’s patron is and how it functions,” said Rabi. Targeting
civilian infrastructure, he said, would make it clear to both the
Lebanese population and the world that an atrocity was committed against
children in northern Israel, and that civilians in Lebanon will
experience severe disruption as a result.
“Their outcry will need to reach the whole
world, and the world can then find the guilty party, and turn its gaze
to Hezbollah,” he added.
Beirut, said Rabi, is of paramount importance as it is the heart of both Lebanon and Hezbollah.
Since the start of the war on Oct. 7, 24
civilians have been murdered in Israel by Hezbollah (including 12 on
Saturday evening in Majdal Shams), and 22 IDF soldiers and officers have
been killed (five in operational accidents). Hezbollah has fired over
340 unmanned aerial vehicles and over 6,400 projectiles at Israel.
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