Friday, April 10, 2020

CALIFORNIA'S HERD IMMUNITY?

by Bob Walsh

Regular readers will remember I recently wrote about speculation that Covid-19 made it's way to California much earlier, and at a much lower impact, than was previously known. It was further speculated that this early, light-weight contact gave denizens of the formerly great state of California a significant amount of herb immunity.

It seems that researchers at Stanford think that it is completely possible this is true. They tested 3,200 people in the greater S.F. Bay Area this past Saturday. The intent is to determine whether or not this area, which is a main travel destination for ethnic Chinese travelers, generated enough contact to spread the bug around at a lower level of impact.

As of Tuesday this week CA had 374 Covid-19 fatalities with a base population of 40 million. New York has half that population and suffered more than 14 times that number of fatalities.

Victor Davis Hanson, a fellow of Stanford's Hoover Institute, has said he believes it is distinctly possible that the early flu season that hit CA was in fact a touch of Covid-19.

The ChiComs originally pegged the beginning of the Covid-19 outbreak to early January. They have since revised that number back to November 19.

They may have some usable numbers in the next week or two. They used the instant test, so all that is left is to analyze the raw data.

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