Saturday, August 10, 2024

LATEST BATTLEGROUND POLLING RESULTS

 By Bob Walsh


This combination of file pictures created on August 3, 2024 shows US Vice President and 2024 Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris speaking on March 26, 2024, in Raleigh, North Carolina; and  


Depending on who you ask and how you interpret things either Trump is still ahead of Harris or Harris is ahead of Trump or they are pretty much dead even in the six all-important battleground states.

IPSOS has recently released info on Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada.  It shows a difference completely within the polling margin of error.  It further shows that the addition of Tim Walz to the ticket has NOT boosted rural voters.  About 52% of those polled stated that inflation was their #1 issue.  About 32% said immigration was.  The IPSOS poll caught 2,045 people with a projected margin of error of 3.1% plus or minus.

An AARP poll showed Trump up by 2% in Georgia.  They show Kennedy with 4%, West with 2% and Stein with 1%.  About 81% of those polled are happy with Harris.  The same figure for Biden was 33%.  

Many of the talking heads are currently asserting the Pennsylvania is for all practical purposes a MUST WIN for Harris.  She has a very convoluted path to an electoral college victory without Pennsylvania. Her choosing of Walz (rather than Shapiro, the Pennsylvania governor) will not gain her much traction in PA.  If Trump can take Pennsylvania and one of the other battleground states it will be pretty much impossible for Harris to grab the brass ring.  

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