I don’t know the word for “chutzpah” in
Turkish, but whatever it is, it applies in spades to recent comments
from Fatih Ceylan, Turkey’s former Ambassador to NATO.
Speaking to Al-Monitor about the
security implications of Turkey’s full-throated support for Hamas,
Ceylan poured cold water on the proposition that Israel might carry out
targeted killings of Hamas and allied terrorists based there, as it has
done with spectacular success in Lebanon and Iran over the last week.
After dismissing the likelihood of similar operations on Turkish soil,
Ceylan added that were one to happen, “[I]n such a case, Turkey will
certainly take this move to NATO.”
When it comes to NATO, Turkey—under the
brutally authoritarian rule of its diehard Islamist president, Recep
Tayyip Erdoğan—has stood out as the alliance’s greatest liability.
Indeed, had Turkey not joined NATO in 1952, when it was ruled by a
secular, Western-oriented government, there’s no question that it would
even be a candidate for membership in the present day. What Erdoğan has
done is to leverage Turkey’s membership to undermine the alliance from
within, functioning almost as a fifth column.
In Syria, for example, Turkish forces have
carried out strikes against the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), who
are, in turn, backed by the United States—Ankara’s ostensible ally and
the most powerful of NATO’s 32 members. In October 2023, the situation
was so bad that the United States was compelled to shoot down a Turkish
drone—one NATO member taking military action against another.
Erdoğan’s relationship with Vladimir
Putin’s regime in Russia is just as disturbing. Ankara was booted out of
the U.S. F-35 fighter jet program in 2019 after it purchased S-400
missiles from the Russians. In the wake of Putin’s aggression against
democratic Ukraine, Turkey has actively participated in busting the
international sanctions on Moscow and aided corrupt Russian oligarchs in
moving funds through Turkish banks.
Turkey has also been actively hostile to
other NATO members, especially Greece. Half of the island of Cyprus has
been illegally occupied by the Turks since 1974; earlier this year,
Erdoğan showed up there to celebrate the 50th anniversary of that
invasion. It has tried to stem NATO’s expansion, holding up Sweden’s
application for membership, which was finally approved only last March.
As my colleague at the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies, Sinan
Ciddi, memorably put it: “Pick your theater of vital security interests
for the NATO alliance, and you’ll discover a Turkish connection that
actively undermines it.”
So when Ceyhan breezily says that Turkey
will raise any Israeli operations on its territory with NATO—hoping, no
doubt, that doing so will trigger Article 5 of the NATO Treaty, which
enshrines the principle that an attack on one member is an attack on
all—one might reasonably expect, given this woeful record, that the
other NATO members will proffer a middle finger in Ankara’s direction.
President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan (R) hugs
Hamas senior official Khaled Meshaal as Ismail Haniyeh, leader of Hamas, looks on during a meeting in
Istanbul, Turkey, April 20, 2024. Erdogan announced of a national day of mourning over
the loss of his “brother” Ismail Haniyeh.
Right now, the Middle East is in the most
febrile state arguably since the State of Israel’s creation in 1948. As
we sit on the cusp of a regional war that would pose an unmistakable
existential threat to Israel, Turkey is doing everything it can to stoke
the flames. Erdoğan is already known for his vicious rhetorical attacks
on the Jewish state, laced with the crudest antisemitism. Since Hamas’s
pogrom of Oct. 7, that has only gotten worse, with Erdoğan claiming
that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is “worse than Hitler”
and depicting Israel as a reincarnation of the Third Reich.
Additionally, the Turkish president has taken special delight in feting
the rapists of Hamas on his home turf, among them the late, unlamented
Ismail Haniyeh, who was eliminated on July 31 with wonderful symbolism
in Tehran. Haniyeh’s assassination unleashed another foul Erdoğan
tirade, along with an announcement of a national day of mourning over
the loss of his “brother.” To cap it all, he even threatened at the end
of July to invade Israel, boasting: “Just as we entered
Nagorno-Karabakh, just as we entered Libya, we might do the same to
them. There is nothing we can’t do.”
As a result, Israeli Foreign Minister
Israel Katz aptly compared Erdoğan to the late Iraqi tyrant Saddam
Hussein as he called on NATO to boot Turkey from its ranks. The problem
with that proposal, however, is that there is no procedure within the
alliance to expel a member—even when, as in Turkey’s case, said member
makes an active mockery of NATO’s commitment to democratic values and
the defense of open societies.
For that reason, NATO has to think
honestly, bravely and creatively about Turkey’s future status. Honestly,
because it is now painfully clear that Turkey’s stance undermines and
contradicts NATO’s core purpose, and that needs to be said out loud.
Bravely, because one or more states need to summon the guts to publicly
question Turkey’s value to the alliance and get the United States on
board—something that might be easier to achieve with a Republican,
rather than a Democratic, administration. Creatively, because the
absence of an expulsion mechanism means that member states need to
figure out another way to get Turkey out of NATO.
That could mean refusing to take part in
military exercises with Turkey; ending intelligence sharing with
Ankara’s security services; shunning meetings with Turkish military
officers; and providing usable intelligence to Israel about Turkey’s
support for Hamas and Hezbollah. Erdoğan should also be challenged for
his hypocrisy in not exiting NATO voluntarily. If he is the great
Islamic leader that he claims to be, if he is aligning himself more and
more with Iranian interests, if the murderers and marauders in Lebanon,
Gaza, the West Bank, Yemen, Syria and Iraq are his new best friends,
then what on earth is he doing in NATO? Turkish NATO membership doesn’t
serve his goals. Neither does it serve ours.
NATO has faced a few external tests since
its formation, but Turkey is the biggest internal one since French
President Charles de Gaulle withdrew from NATO’s command structure in
1966. It is also more dangerous since de Gaulle’s objections to U.S.
domination of NATO didn’t drive France into the hands of the Soviets. To
protect themselves and what the alliance stands for, NATO members have
only one option: suspend cooperation with Turkey and do all they can to
secure Turkey’s departure from an alliance that it only disgraces.
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